Rio Noguchi vs Andre Ilagan Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Noguchi has a slight edge with a 44.26% win rate on second serves, compared to Ilagan's 44.07% over the last 6 months.
• Return Game Stats: Ilagan outperforms slightly in return games, achieving a 47.45% win rate on the opponent's second serves and 28.06% on first serves; Noguchi's rates are 46.65% and 27.69% respectively. Could this small margin make a difference in the match?
• Performance Under Pressure: Ilagan excels by saving 55.56% of breakpoints, whereas Noguchi saves 50%. Is Ilagan's resilience the key to his potential victory?
• Overall Match Winning Percentages: Noguchi boasts a 60% match win rate over the last year, just ahead of Ilagan's 58.75%.
• Best Surface Performance: Noguchi prefers Grass with a 64% win rate, while Ilagan's strength lies on Hard courts with a 63% win rate.
• Player Experience Level: Both primarily compete in Challengers/ITF > $10K tournaments, with Noguchi winning 56.67% and Ilagan 52.17% of such matches.
• Head-To-Head Record: Noguchi remains undefeated against Ilagan, winning their only match decisively in straight sets at their last meeting in the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger.
• Opponent Quality: Noguchi has faced tougher opponents, with an average ranking of 354.79 compared to Ilagan's 420.29.
• Deciding Set Performances: Noguchi dominates in deciding sets, with a 75% win rate in the last year, whereas Ilagan stands at 50%.
• Break Point Conversion: Ilagan converts breakpoints slightly better, with a 34.29% conversion rate against Noguchi's 32.75%.

Editorial Prediction (July 8, 2025, UTC):

In examining the data, the match is shaping up to be a closely contested battle. Noguchi's slight advantage in both second serve performance and overall winning percentage suggests stability in his game.

However, Ilagan's superior return game and his ability to save breakpoints may provide a competitive edge, especially if the match intensifies. His higher break point conversion rate might also serve as a crucial factor during tight moments.

Despite Ilagan's strengths, Noguchi's consistent past performance against tougher opponents and his superior record in deciding sets give him an advantageous position should this match extend further.

Given these insights, Noguchi is the likely favorite to win this upcoming match, considering his proven head-to-head record and general match resilience.